Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.007888 0.008880 0.009966 0.011247 0.012720 0.014365 0.016347
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006161 0.007463 0.009013 0.011007 0.013522 0.016612 0.020731
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005400 0.006865 0.008711 0.011230 0.014618 0.019072 0.025458
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004776 0.006308 0.008325 0.011212 0.015303 0.020989 0.029659
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004144 0.005642 0.007687 0.010729 0.015230 0.021782 0.032306
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003765 0.005272 0.007395 0.010671 0.015716 0.023389 0.036344
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003609 0.005192 0.007497 0.011182 0.017089 0.026483 0.043172
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003245 0.004770 0.007045 0.010786 0.016978 0.027184 0.046081
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002962 0.004440 0.006698 0.010510 0.017015 0.028108 0.049483
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002779 0.004248 0.006545 0.010527 0.017533 0.029899 0.054727
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002706 0.004223 0.006653 0.010985 0.018858 0.033284 0.063565
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002530 0.004013 0.006439 0.010862 0.019118 0.034719 0.068711
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002392 0.003863 0.006320 0.010914 0.019744 0.037007 0.076216
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002220 0.003642 0.006063 0.010691 0.019824 0.038235 0.081665
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002134 0.003562 0.006045 0.010907 0.020785 0.041396 0.092141
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002022 0.003426 0.005913 0.010889 0.021267 0.043602 0.100773
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001857 0.003184 0.005569 0.010422 0.020754 0.043540 0.103711
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001762 0.003062 0.005437 0.010366 0.021112 0.045501 0.112308
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001743 0.003079 0.005568 0.010860 0.022738 0.050667 0.130750
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001621 0.002893 0.005294 0.010477 0.022333 0.050860 0.135153
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001521 0.002744 0.005083 0.010210 0.022168 0.051631 0.141446
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001460 0.002666 0.005005 0.010227 0.022676 0.054198 0.153826
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001447 0.002680 0.005115 0.010670 0.024274 0.059893 0.177631